Jeff Yoak ([info]yoak) wrote,
@ 2007-01-10 05:47:00
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apples and iphones
I have a small portfolio that I trade very aggressively. Most of the trading is based upon technical analysis, but occasionally I take some position based on something fundamental. Yesterday closed out one of the larger of those positions.

I knew that Macworld was going on. I knew the iPhone was going to be announced yesterday. I knew that analysyts were talking about how they expected Apple to sell 2-3 million of the things in the first year, and how Apple had produced 12 million units. I knew that the stock had been languishing for weeks off of a high. It seemed like a good time to be holding Apple calls. :-)

It turned out that I didn't know about the announcement of the deal with Google, and I didn't know about iTV actually being shown or for sale as soon as it turns out that it will be. (Good time to own Tivo puts? :-) ) Anyway... things went really well.

Relatedly... those iPhones look extremely awesome. Apple ususally does a pretty good job. I happen to be a cingular customer, so I should be able to get it when it comes out mid-summer for cheap / free by extending my contract. I suspect my phone is going to run OSX!


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[info]boffo
2007-01-10 06:05 pm UTC (link)
I'm skeptical about the iTV. I think manufacturers and media companies are more interested in connecting TVs and computers than consumers are. Consumers aren't going to want to spend $400 to do it. Most higher end computers already come with a video out jack these days, and people rarely connect to their TV when all they need is a $5 cable.

The iPhone does look neat, although I haven't seen how they're planning to implement a keyboard. (I haven't been paying that close attention, so maybe they've explained it somewhere.) I doubt you'd get it for free, in any event. I think discounts for cell phones typically run about $100-$150 for a 1 year commitment, and $150-$200 for 2 years. And since lots of people will want these and Cingular's the only one who has them, they'll probably be on the low end of that discount.

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[info]madbard
2007-01-10 06:21 pm UTC (link)
The keyboard is onscreen, as needed. If you watch the video of Jobs' keynote, he demonstrates it.

The iPhone is cooler than James Cameron's next movie, and would win in a fight.

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